Sunland Park, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

996
FXUS64 KEPZ 040431
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1031 PM MDT Sun May 3 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 953 PM MDT Sun May 3 2026

 - Breezy west winds Monday and Tuesday. Scattered rain showers
   across western New Mexico on Tuesday.

 - Warmer and potentially drier weather late this week.
   Temperatures trend below normal through Friday becoming above
   normal this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 953 PM MDT Sun May 3 2026

A cutoff low will continue to spin over central California heading
into Monday. Locally, this low will continue to push in a
subtropical tap keeping cloudy skies overhead on Monday. In
addition, breezy conditions of 15-25 mph out of the west are
expected Monday afternoon. Rain chances look to start late Monday
night and very early Tuesday morning for the Gila region and western
New Mexico. Rain chances will spread north and eastward heading into
Tuesday. Best chances for rain look to be the area mountains with
only some lowland locations in New Mexico having slight chances of
rain that afternoon. In addition to the rain, Tuesday will be
another breezy day. Winds will be generally 15-25 mph again, but may
see slightly stronger wind speeds compared to Monday.

By Wednesday, expect dry conditions with some afternoon
breeziness. Models agree on pinching off an area of low pressure
over the northern Baja but disagreements in the GFS and EC
solutions on Thursday with what models will do with this low
pressure system. The GFS has the low cutoff from the main flow and
spinning over northwestern Mexico bringing the area some rain
chances. Meanwhile, the EC sweeps the low pressure off back into
the main flow and keeps us dry Thursday. Friday looks dry and
quiet with northwest flow aloft.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 953 PM MDT Sun May 3 2026

Generally light winds overnight AOB 10KT. Winds will start to pick
up around 15-17Z becoming breezy. Winds continue to increase
through the mid-afternoon hours where maximum winds will occur.
Winds will be out of the west at around 20G30KT. High and mid
clouds look to stick around.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1054 AM MDT Sun May 3 2026

No significant fire concerns this week, although there will be
some breezy to windy conditions Mon/Tue which will be accompanied
by RH`s mainly remaining above 15%. Some light rain showers are
expected over areas west of the Rio Grande and the Sacs on Tue
which will also be the windiest day. Going into later in the week,
winds will be under 15 mph with temperatures near normal but RH`s
will be down into the teens. The next chance for precipitation
will come towards the end of the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  62  85  63  79 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca            55  80  56  75 /  10   0   0   0
Las Cruces               54  81  54  75 /   0   0  10   0
Alamogordo               54  79  57  74 /   0   0  10  10
Cloudcroft               41  57  40  51 /   0   0  10  20
Truth or Consequences    56  80  56  74 /  10   0  10  30
Silver City              48  72  46  65 /  10  10  30  30
Deming                   53  83  53  78 /   0   0  10  20
Lordsburg                51  80  52  73 /   0   0  20  20
West El Paso Metro       62  83  62  78 /   0   0  10   0
Dell City                53  83  58  79 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock             58  88  62  83 /  10   0   0   0
Loma Linda               56  77  56  72 /  10   0   0   0
Fabens                   59  86  61  81 /  10   0   0   0
Santa Teresa             57  82  58  77 /   0   0  10   0
White Sands HQ           61  82  63  77 /  10   0  10  10
Jornada Range            53  80  54  75 /   0   0  10  10
Hatch                    55  83  56  78 /   0   0  10  10
Columbus                 57  85  57  79 /   0   0  10  10
Orogrande                54  79  58  74 /   0   0  10   0
Mayhill                  45  71  48  64 /   0   0  10  20
Mescalero                45  67  45  62 /  10   0  10  30
Timberon                 43  66  45  61 /   0   0  10  20
Winston                  44  71  42  66 /  10  10  30  40
Hillsboro                54  77  53  71 /  10   0  20  30
Spaceport                49  80  52  74 /  10   0  10  20
Lake Roberts             45  72  42  65 /  10  10  40  40
Hurley                   48  76  47  69 /  10   0  20  30
Cliff                    48  78  49  72 /  10  10  40  40
Mule Creek               46  74  45  67 /  10  10  50  50
Faywood                  51  75  49  69 /  10   0  20  30
Animas                   52  81  51  74 /   0  10  20  20
Hachita                  53  80  50  75 /   0   0  10  20
Antelope Wells           53  80  53  74 /   0   0  10  10
Cloverdale               51  75  51  69 /   0   0  20  20

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

FORECASTER...37-Slusher